Environmental Episodes: Imagining the future of climate change to motivate action


Episodic simulation exercises evoke affect and motivate pro-environmental behavior


Climate change is a global crisis that requires immediate action to prevent negative future outcomes. However, even people who are concerned about climate change may fail to take action because they perceive climate change as a threat that is distant, abstract, or not self-relevant. How can we bridge this gap between our present actions and future outcomes?

We tested interventions that aimed to overcome these barriers by guiding individuals to imagine future scenarios. In an initial study (part of a broader "intervention tournament"), we tested four versions of an episodic simulation (i.e., guided imagination) intervention, in which participants vividly imagined a future scenario related to climate change. We varied the motivational framing (Prevention vs. Promotion) and self-relevance (Self vs. Other focus) of the imagined scenarios. Imagining oneself experiencing a negative future scenario (Prevention-Self condition) broadly increased intentions to engage in pro-environmental behaviors, motivating individual and collective action, whereas imagining a positive future (Promotion conditions) increased the perceived impact of taking action. The Prevention-Self intervention was a leading strategy for motivating action, among all 11 interventions tested in our tournament!

In a second preregistered study, we replicated the effect of Prevention-Self on action intentions and found that this effect was mediated by negative affect induced by the imagination exercise. Overall, we show that imagining the future of climate change—particularly a self-relevant, negative scenario—is an effective strategy to motivate climate action
In ongoing work, we are testing this intervention on new outcomes, including direct and longitudinal measures of behavior. We've found that people who have more intense affective responses to the imagination intervention go on to engage in more pro-environmental behaviors in daily life (over a 10 day period), and report enduring intentions to continue increasing these behaviors.


Project Collaborators:
Emily Falk, University of Pennsylvania
Danielle Cosme, University of Pennsylvania
Kirsten Lydic, University of Pennsylvania
Imagining a positive or negative future related to climate change action or inaction

Publications


Action planning interventions to promote individual and collective climate action


Kirsten Lydic, Alyssa H. Sinclair, Danielle Cosme, José Carreras-Tartak, Emily B. Falk

PsyArXiv, 2025 Jun 28


Behavioral interventions motivate action to address climate change


Alyssa H. Sinclair, Dani Cosme, Kirsten Lydic, Diego A. Reinero, José Carreras-Tartak, Michael E. Mann, Emily B. Falk

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA, vol. 122(20), 2025 May 20, pp. e2426768122


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